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2007年05 期
| 標(biāo)題 |
| 基于灰色馬爾可夫鏈模型的鐵路客運(yùn)量預(yù)測(cè)研究(29 卷) |
| 英文標(biāo)題 |
| Study on Forecasting Method of Railway Passenger Volume Based on Gray Markov Chain Model |
| 摘要 |
| 闡述灰色馬爾可夫鏈預(yù)測(cè)模型原理，根據(jù)灰色預(yù)測(cè)思想和馬爾可夫鏈預(yù)測(cè)思想，將灰色GM（1，1）預(yù)測(cè)模型結(jié)合馬爾可夫鏈狀態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)移，能較好地反映鐵路客運(yùn)量的發(fā)展規(guī)律。通過(guò)對(duì)我國(guó)鐵路客運(yùn)量預(yù)測(cè)的實(shí)證分析，說(shuō)明灰色馬爾可夫鏈預(yù)測(cè)模型對(duì)于具有一定波動(dòng)性和隨機(jī)性的鐵路客運(yùn)量有 |
| 作者 |
| 新聞作者:燕臣穎，董寶田 |
| 關(guān)鍵字 |
